The longest NCAA bracket has ever been correct

The longest (verifiable) streak of proper choices in an NCAA match bracket to start out the loved March Insanity match is 49, a streak that was once established in 2019.

An Ohio guy accurately predicted all the 2019 NCAA match into the Candy 16, one thing we have not observed in years of monitoring publicly verifiable on-line March Insanity brackets throughout all main sports activities.

The remaining easiest males’s NCAA bracket in 2022 was once busted at the first Friday of the match when No. 11 Iowa State disenchanted No. 6 LSU, 59-54. That is when this bracket created through ESPN consumer “bekins24” were given busted.

In 2021, all last proper brackets in 28 have been damaged because of a number of huge upsetsthPlay. This in fact follows 2020, when COVID-19 pressured the cancellation of the NCAA match.

Previous to the 2019 NCAA match, the longest streak of easiest choices we noticed within the March Insanity bracket was once 39 video games, completed in 2017.

Then Greg Niggle of Columbus in short broke that checklist within the Capital One NCAA March Insanity Bracket Problem with the well-known “Middle Street” NCAA match bracket, accurately predicting the primary 49 video games of the 2019 match prior to finishing in Sport 50. when 3-seed Purdue defeated 2-seed Tennessee 99–94 in additional time of the second one recreation within the Candy 16.

Niggle, a neuropsychologist from Columbus, Ohio, changed into the primary verified bracket to accurately select the Candy 16.

With greater than 3 a long time of sifting via on-line and paper brackets (the present structure has existed since 1985) and between an estimated 60 million to 100 million brackets being stuffed each and every 12 months, it is slightly imaginable that any individual, a long way higher Have you ever executed Figuring out an respectable checklist is made much more tough through the truth that on-line video games have most effective just lately offered in depth record-keeping.

Now we have carefully tracked roughly 20 to twenty-five million on-line brackets in line with 12 months in about part a dozen main sports activities since 2016, the usage of public leaderboards together with direct reporting and data amassing from the ones sports activities. Previous to 2016, we depended on stories from the ones video games in addition to on-line archives to get the most efficient data to be had.

Till Niggle, shall we now not in finding any verified brackets that are compatible Candy 16 precisely. There was once a extensively reported instance of a bracket getting via two rounds in 2010, however there was once no method to make sure the authenticity of the bracket. Deadspin reported on the time that it was once entered into a web based recreation the place choices may well be modified between rounds.

Greg Niggle's 2019 NCAA bracket is perfect through the first two rounds.Greg Niggle’s 2019 NCAA bracket is easiest throughout the first two rounds.

This is the place we stood in each and every of the previous years:


Because of UMBC’s ancient 16-1 disenchanted over Virginia, no outright NCAA bracket went via to the primary spherical on Friday evening. Of the million brackets we tracked, 25 have been easiest throughout the first 28 video games of the match, however UMBC’s win in recreation No. 29 edged all of them out.


We noticed a fantastic 39 video games picked to start out the match, the perfect quantity recorded until 2019. 39 immediately easiest choices gave Brackett his first lack of the match prior to Iowa State fixed a comeback in opposition to Purdue.


The longest this 12 months was once 25 video games, With Stephen F. Austin’s win over West Virginia on Friday evening, the remaining last outright NCAA match bracket was once busted. A fifteen–2 disenchanted (Heart Tennessee at Michigan State) made this a difficult 12 months for the brackets.


In keeping with a tale through ESPN senior creator Darren Rowell, one bracket accurately picked the primary 34 video games within the ESPN On-line Bracket Sport, it was once every other top-notch 12 months. ESPN said in 2016 that his 2015 bracket was once the most efficient begin to a match on checklist in his 18 years of taking part in.

2014 (and previous)

Yahoo! Previous to 2017, the longest easiest bracket streak tracked was once 36. Play. In 2014, Brad Binder went 36-for-36 to start out the match. Yahoo! Sports activities reported that Binder’s bracket was once the one time a great bracket went to the second one spherical in additional than 18 years of webhosting a recreation.

Within the 2019 match, an strangely prime collection of easiest brackets survived the primary spherical because of the relative predictability of the NCAA match (peak seeds profitable). We tracked an estimated 25 million brackets from the beginning throughout six main on-line sports activities, together with the Capital One March Insanity Bracket Problem on 15 of them have been easiest after the primary 32 fits of the match.

Saturday narrowed that box somewhat additional, and, CBS, ESPN, Fox Sports activities, Sports activities Illustrated and Yahoo! However in sports activities, most effective two March Insanity brackets have been transferring via 40 video games on Sunday – a bracket at Nigl’s and Yahoo.

The brackets disagreed at the fourth recreation of the day – Texas Tech-Buffalo. When Texas Tech received, it left most effective Niggle’s “Middle Street” bracket as the one proper March Insanity bracket left. Middle Street survived a number of scares on Sunday, together with a Tennessee additional time win and Duke’s get away over UCF.

And after a Gonzaga win to start out the Candy 16, the “Middle Street” bracket suffered its first loss as Purdue defeated Tennessee 99–94 in additional time within the fiftieth recreation of the match. That run of 49 easiest video games will likely be very exhausting to peak someday. Facet word, that is the second one time in 3 years that Purdue has busted a record-holding easiest bracket.

The chances of a great 63-game NCAA bracket may well be as prime as 1 in 9.2 quintillion – even though the ones are easiest bracket odds if each recreation was once a 50-50 coin turn. If you happen to issue NCAA males’s basketball wisdom into the system, in keeping with the past due DePaul professor Jeff Bergen, your possibilities of opting for a proper bracket may well be as little as 1 in 28 billion.

Bergen estimated that if each particular person on the earth of seven.5 billion began filling one pot in line with minute, it will take greater than 2,000 years to fill the 9.2 quintals.

, Dan Jepperson, Mike Schatz and Daniel Wilko contributed to this reporting